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Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1Q O/U 6.5 100% 1Q O/U 12.5 100% North Texas 1H O/U 11.5 91% 1Q Spread -0.5 91% Volume: $348K Liquidity: $270K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
North Texas 1H O/U 11.591%
1Q Spread -0.591%
1Q Spread -1.591%
1Q Spread -3.591%
1Q O/U 9.591%
Spread -1.568%
Spread -2.566%
Spread -6.563%
Spread -10.554%
North Texas O/U 3.551%
O/U 58.550%
UNLV O/U 0.550%
UNLV O/U 1.550%
UNLV O/U 2.550%
UNLV O/U 3.550%
North Texas O/U 0.550%
North Texas O/U 1.550%
North Texas O/U 2.550%
North Texas O/U 3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 40.550%
O/U 42.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 48.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 54.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 66.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 72.550%
O/U 74.550%
O/U 78.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
UNLV O/U 24.550%
UNLV O/U 27.550%
UNLV O/U 30.550%
UNLV O/U 33.550%
UNLV O/U 36.550%
North Texas O/U 20.550%
North Texas O/U 23.550%
North Texas O/U 26.550%
North Texas O/U 29.550%
North Texas O/U 32.550%
North Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
North Texas 1H O/U 15.550%
UNLV O/U 3.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 12.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 14.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 16.550%
North Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
North Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
North Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 12.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 14.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 16.550%
Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jahiem White: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brendon Haygood: Anytime Touchdown50%
Corri Milliner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tayven Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown50%
Justin Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Baron Tipton: Anytime Touchdown50%
Josiah Martin: Anytime Touchdown50%
DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Osho: Anytime Touchdown50%
Max Reese: Anytime Touchdown50%
Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown50%
Shandon King: Anytime Touchdown50%
Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown50%
North Texas O/U 21.550%
North Texas O/U 24.550%
North Texas O/U 27.550%
North Texas O/U 30.550%
North Texas O/U 33.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -16.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H O/U 22.550%
1H O/U 25.550%
1H O/U 28.550%
1H O/U 31.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
2H O/U 34.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 8.550%
4Q O/U 11.550%
4Q O/U 14.550%
4Q O/U 17.550%
4Q O/U 20.550%
O/U 61.549%
Spread -16.549%
1H O/U 34.549%
Spread -4.548%
O/U 52.547%
Spread -13.547%
Spread -9.546%
Spread -13.545%
O/U 64.545%
Spread -3.544%
Spread -7.543%
Spread -5.542%
Spread -24.542%
O/U 70.542%
Spread -21.541%
Spread -17.540%
O/U 46.539%
Spread -11.538%
Spread -9.537%
O/U 56.536%
Spread -10.533%
O/U 60.527%
Spread -14.525%
O/U 57.524%
UNLV vs. North Texas23%
1H Spread -2.523%
O/U 76.521%
1H Spread -3.520%
Spread -4.519%
Spread -2.519%
Spread -1.517%
1H Spread -4.517%
Spread -3.514%
Spread -6.513%
Spread -20.511%
1Q Spread -0.510%
1Q Spread -1.510%
1Q Spread -2.510%
1Q Moneyline10%
1Q Spread -3.510%
1Q O/U 15.510%
1Q O/U 18.510%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: unlv vs. north texas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and North Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 6.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas".

1Q O/U 6.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $348K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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