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Pronóstico: UNLV vs. Hawai'i

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: UNLV vs. Hawai'i" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 37.5 88% O/U 39.5 86% O/U 41.5 81% O/U 43.5 79% Volume: $407K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: UNLV vs. Hawai'i

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 37.588%
O/U 39.586%
O/U 41.581%
O/U 43.579%
O/U 45.573%
Hawai'i O/U 20.573%
UNLV O/U 22.572%
O/U 47.570%
UNLV O/U 23.569%
Hawai'i O/U 21.567%
O/U 49.566%
Hawai'i O/U 23.563%
UNLV O/U 25.561%
O/U 51.560%
UNLV O/U 26.559%
UNLV vs. Hawai'i56%
Hawai'i O/U 24.556%
Spread -0.555%
O/U 53.554%
1H Moneyline53%
Hawai'i O/U 26.553%
Spread -1.552%
UNLV 1H O/U 16.551%
UNLV O/U 3.551%
Cam Barfield: Anytime Touchdown51%
Micah Alejado: Anytime Touchdown51%
Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown51%
Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown51%
Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown51%
Diezel Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown51%
Hawai'i O/U 2.551%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 11.550%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 15.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 12.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 14.550%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 11.550%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 13.550%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 15.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 11.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 13.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 15.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 12.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 14.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 16.550%
Hawai'i O/U 3.550%
Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown50%
Blaze Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tama Uiliata: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown50%
DeVon Rice: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devin Alves: Anytime Touchdown50%
DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carson Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Audric Harris: Anytime Touchdown50%
Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Griffiths: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kainoa Carvalho: Anytime Touchdown50%
Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Byrnes: Anytime Touchdown50%
2Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
UNLV O/U 0.550%
UNLV O/U 1.550%
UNLV O/U 2.550%
UNLV O/U 3.550%
Hawai'i O/U 0.550%
Hawai'i O/U 1.550%
Hawai'i O/U 3.550%
O/U 55.549%
Spread -27.549%
1H Spread -0.549%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 13.549%
1H Spread -1.548%
UNLV O/U 28.548%
1H Spread -2.547%
Hawai'i O/U 27.547%
O/U 56.546%
UNLV O/U 29.546%
2H Spread -1.545%
O/U 57.544%
2Q Spread -1.544%
2H Spread -2.543%
Spread: UNLV (-3.5)42%
O/U 58.542%
4Q Spread -1.541%
Spread -4.540%
Spread -5.540%
1H Spread -3.540%
3Q Spread -1.540%
Hawai'i O/U 29.540%
O/U 59.539%
2H Spread -3.539%
Spread -6.538%
UNLV O/U 32.537%
Hawai'i O/U 30.537%
1H Spread -4.537%
UNLV O/U 31.537%
O/U 61.536%
Spread -7.535%
2H Spread -4.534%
Spread -8.531%
O/U 63.530%
Hawai'i O/U 32.530%
UNLV O/U 34.530%
Spread -10.528%
Hawai'i O/U 33.528%
O/U 65.527%
UNLV O/U 35.526%
O/U 67.524%
1Q Spread -0.524%
Spread -13.522%
Spread -14.520%
O/U 69.520%
Spread -16.517%
O/U 71.517%
Spread -17.514%
O/U 73.514%
Spread -20.512%
Spread -21.511%
O/U 75.511%
O/U 77.59%
Spread -24.57%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for Pronóstico: UNLV vs. Hawai'i. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET: If UNLV wins, the market will resolve to "UNLV". If Hawai'i wins, the market will resolve to "Hawai'i". If the game is p…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 37.5 at 88% for "Pronóstico: UNLV vs. Hawai'i".

O/U 37.5 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $407K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: UNLV vs. Hawai'i. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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