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Pronóstico: UMass vs. Sacramento State

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: UMass vs. Sacramento State" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1Q Spread -3.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $417K Liquidity: $230K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: UMass vs. Sacramento State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
UMass 1H O/U 12.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
O/U 34.596%
UMass vs. Sacramento State93%
1H O/U 18.591%
1H O/U 21.591%
1H O/U 24.591%
2Q O/U 10.591%
2Q O/U 13.591%
2Q O/U 16.591%
2Q O/U 19.591%
UMass O/U 20.591%
UMass 1H O/U 14.591%
UMass 1H O/U 16.591%
O/U 40.589%
Spread -4.586%
Spread -1.586%
Spread -5.584%
UMass O/U 23.584%
Spread -2.582%
Spread -6.581%
Spread -3.581%
O/U 30.578%
O/U 46.578%
1H Spread -2.578%
O/U 36.576%
O/U 38.576%
O/U 42.575%
O/U 44.572%
Spread -10.569%
Spread -7.568%
O/U 48.567%
O/U 50.566%
Spread -11.561%
Spread -9.560%
Spread -8.559%
O/U 52.553%
Spread -12.552%
Spread -0.551%
1H Spread -3.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -12.550%
O/U 28.550%
O/U 32.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H O/U 27.550%
1H O/U 30.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H O/U 18.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
UMass O/U 26.550%
UMass O/U 29.550%
UMass O/U 32.550%
Sacramento State O/U 15.550%
Sacramento State O/U 18.550%
Sacramento State O/U 24.550%
Sacramento State 1H O/U 8.550%
Sacramento State 1H O/U 10.550%
Sacramento State 1H O/U 12.550%
UMass 2H O/U 11.550%
UMass 2H O/U 13.550%
UMass 2H O/U 15.550%
Sacramento State 2H O/U 9.550%
Sacramento State 2H O/U 11.550%
Sacramento State 2H O/U 13.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Sacramento State O/U 2.550%
UMass O/U 3.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.550%
UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Spread -14.549%
Spread -13.549%
O/U 54.547%
Sacramento State O/U 21.547%
O/U 56.543%
Spread -18.542%
Spread -17.542%
Spread -21.536%
O/U 60.535%
O/U 62.534%
Spread -24.533%
O/U 58.532%
O/U 66.532%
O/U 68.531%
Spread -20.530%
Sacramento State O/U 27.525%
O/U 64.521%
Spread -1.514%
Spread -4.513%
Spread -3.511%
Spread -6.511%
Spread -2.59%
Spread -9.57%
Spread -10.55%
Spread -16.54%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q O/U 9.50%
1Q O/U 12.50%
1Q O/U 15.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%

Market context

UMass vs. Sacramento State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 93% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T01:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -3.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: UMass vs. Sacramento State".

1Q Spread -3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $417K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: UMass vs. Sacramento State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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