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Pronóstico: SMU vs. Florida State

"Pronóstico: SMU vs. Florida State" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 33.5 93% O/U 35.5 90% O/U 37.5 88% O/U 39.5 84% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: SMU vs. Florida State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 33.593%
O/U 35.590%
O/U 37.588%
O/U 39.584%
O/U 41.579%
Florida State O/U 18.578%
O/U 43.576%
SMU O/U 21.575%
Florida State O/U 19.574%
SMU O/U 22.574%
O/U 45.573%
Florida State O/U 20.570%
O/U 47.567%
Florida State O/U 21.566%
Florida State O/U 22.565%
O/U 49.563%
SMU O/U 25.563%
SMU O/U 24.562%
Florida State O/U 23.560%
O/U 51.559%
SMU vs. Florida State57%
O/U 52.556%
Spread -0.556%
O/U 53.555%
Spread -1.555%
1H Moneyline55%
SMU 1H O/U 13.555%
Florida State O/U 24.554%
Florida State O/U 1.554%
SMU O/U 27.553%
Florida State 1H O/U 12.553%
Florida State O/U 25.553%
O/U 54.553%
Spread: SMU (-2.5)52%
1H Spread -0.552%
Florida State 1H O/U 10.552%
SMU O/U 1.552%
1Q Moneyline51%
3Q Moneyline51%
4Q Moneyline51%
SMU 1H O/U 11.551%
SMU 2H O/U 11.551%
SMU 2H O/U 13.551%
SMU 2H O/U 15.551%
Florida State 2H O/U 13.551%
Florida State 2H O/U 15.551%
Quintrevion Wisner: Anytime Touchdown51%
Jayvan Boggs: Anytime Touchdown51%
Randy Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown51%
Landen Thomas: Anytime Touchdown51%
Jalen Hale: Anytime Touchdown51%
Desirrio Riles: Anytime Touchdown51%
SMU O/U 0.551%
Florida State 1H O/U 11.551%
SMU 2H O/U 12.551%
SMU 2H O/U 14.551%
SMU 2H O/U 16.551%
SMU 1H O/U 12.551%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
Florida State 1H O/U 14.550%
SMU 1H O/U 15.550%
Florida State 2H O/U 11.550%
Dramekco Green: Anytime Touchdown50%
Christian Rhodes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Isaiah Robertson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Florida State O/U 0.550%
Florida State 1H O/U 13.550%
Florida State 1H O/U 15.550%
SMU 1H O/U 14.550%
SMU 1H O/U 16.550%
Florida State O/U 26.549%
SMU O/U 28.549%
O/U 55.548%
1H Spread -2.548%
4Q Spread -1.548%
1Q Spread -0.547%
2H Spread -1.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
SMU O/U 3.546%
4Q Spread -0.545%
Florida State O/U 27.545%
2H Spread -2.544%
2Q Spread -1.544%
Spread -3.543%
3Q Spread -0.543%
SMU O/U 30.543%
O/U 57.542%
1Q Spread -2.542%
3Q Spread -1.542%
Spread -4.541%
1H Spread -3.541%
2Q Spread -2.541%
Spread -5.540%
3Q Spread -2.540%
Florida State O/U 28.540%
Spread -6.539%
2H Spread -3.539%
4Q Spread -2.539%
Florida State O/U 3.539%
Florida State O/U 29.538%
O/U 59.537%
SMU O/U 31.537%
Florida State O/U 30.535%
Spread -34.534%
Florida State O/U 2.534%
Spread -7.533%
SMU O/U 33.533%
O/U 61.532%
Kendrick Raphael: Anytime Touchdown32%
SMU O/U 2.531%
Ousmane Kromah: Anytime Touchdown29%
Spread -8.528%
Spread -31.528%
O/U 63.528%
Florida State O/U 32.528%
Florida State O/U 31.528%
SMU O/U 34.528%
Samuel Singleton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown26%
Spread -10.525%
Derrick McFall: Anytime Touchdown25%
O/U 65.524%
Ashton Daniels: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -13.521%
Duce Robinson: Anytime Touchdown21%
O/U 67.520%
Yamir Knight: Anytime Touchdown20%
Micahi Danzy: Anytime Touchdown19%
SMU O/U 3.519%
Spread -14.518%
O/U 69.517%
Yannick Smith: Anytime Touchdown17%
Spread -16.516%
Jalen Cooper: Anytime Touchdown16%
Theo Melin Ohrstrom: Anytime Touchdown16%
Spread -17.514%
Kevin Jennings: Anytime Touchdown14%
O/U 71.513%
Florida State O/U 3.512%
Spread -20.511%
O/U 73.511%
Spread -21.510%
Spread -24.57%
Spread -27.56%

Market context

The Pronóstico: SMU vs. Florida State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 93% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 7 at 7:30PM ET: If SMU wins, the market will resolve to "SMU". If Florida State wins, the market will resolve to "Florida State". If the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 33.5 at 93% for "Pronóstico: SMU vs. Florida State".

O/U 33.5 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $87K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: SMU vs. Florida State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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