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Pronóstico: San Jose State vs. USC

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: San Jose State vs. USC" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% O/U 40.5 100% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $852K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: San Jose State vs. USC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
1H Spread -22.5100%
1H Spread -23.5100%
1H Spread -24.5100%
1H Spread -25.5100%
1H Spread -26.5100%
2Q Spread -11.5100%
2Q Spread -12.5100%
2Q Spread -13.5100%
2Q Spread -14.5100%
2Q Spread -15.5100%
San Jose State O/U 3.5100%
San Jose State O/U 6.5100%
San Jose State O/U 9.5100%
USC 1H O/U 26.5100%
2Q Spread -16.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
San Jose State O/U 4.5100%
San Jose State O/U 7.5100%
San Jose State O/U 10.5100%
USC 1H O/U 27.5100%
San Jose State O/U 5.5100%
San Jose State O/U 8.5100%
Spread -4.599%
Spread -5.599%
Spread -6.599%
San Jose State 2H O/U 8.599%
Spread -20.597%
Spread -17.594%
O/U 54.590%
O/U 56.590%
San Jose State O/U 12.590%
San Jose State O/U 15.590%
San Jose State O/U 13.590%
San Jose State O/U 16.590%
San Jose State O/U 11.590%
San Jose State O/U 14.590%
San Jose State O/U 17.590%
Spread -1.578%
Spread -21.566%
O/U 64.560%
O/U 60.553%
Spread -39.550%
Spread -7.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -10.550%
Spread -13.550%
Spread -14.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 66.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 72.550%
O/U 74.550%
O/U 78.550%
O/U 80.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
USC O/U 43.550%
USC O/U 46.550%
USC O/U 49.550%
USC O/U 52.550%
USC O/U 55.550%
2H Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -15.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Moneyline50%
San Jose State 2H O/U 4.550%
San Jose State 2H O/U 6.550%
USC 2H O/U 18.550%
USC 2H O/U 20.550%
USC 2H O/U 22.550%
USC O/U 42.550%
USC O/U 45.550%
USC O/U 48.550%
USC O/U 51.550%
USC O/U 54.550%
USC O/U 44.550%
USC O/U 47.550%
USC O/U 50.550%
USC O/U 53.550%
USC O/U 56.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
O/U 76.549%
O/U 70.548%
O/U 62.543%
O/U 61.528%
Spread -24.525%
Spread -27.516%
4Q Spread -6.59%
2H Spread -14.59%
4Q Spread -7.56%
2H Spread -13.56%
San Jose State vs. USC0%
Spread: USC (-38.5)0%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -8.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -11.50%
1Q Spread -12.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -8.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
San Jose State 1H O/U 1.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 3.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 5.50%
USC 1H O/U 28.50%
USC 1H O/U 30.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
USC 1H O/U 29.50%
USC 1H O/U 31.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: san jose state vs. usc. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 3:00PM ET: If San Jose State wins, the market will resolve to "San Jose State". If USC wins, the market will resolve to "USC". If the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: San Jose State vs. USC".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $137K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: San Jose State vs. USC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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