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Pronóstico: Maryland vs. UConn

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Maryland vs. UConn" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Maryland vs. UConn 100% Spread -10.5 100% Spread -12.5 100% Maryland O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $60K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Maryland vs. UConn

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Maryland vs. UConn100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -12.5100%
Maryland O/U 0.5100%
Maryland O/U 1.5100%
Maryland O/U 2.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -11.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
4Q Moneyline100%
UConn O/U 12.5100%
Maryland O/U 27.5100%
Maryland O/U 30.5100%
Maryland O/U 33.5100%
Maryland O/U 36.5100%
Maryland 1H O/U 15.5100%
Maryland O/U 4.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
Maryland O/U 26.5100%
Maryland O/U 29.5100%
Maryland O/U 32.5100%
Maryland O/U 35.5100%
UConn O/U 13.5100%
Maryland 1H O/U 14.5100%
Maryland 1H O/U 16.5100%
Maryland 2H O/U 12.5100%
Maryland 2H O/U 14.5100%
Maryland 2H O/U 16.5100%
Maryland O/U 25.5100%
Maryland O/U 28.5100%
Maryland O/U 31.5100%
Maryland O/U 34.5100%
Maryland O/U 37.5100%
Chris Durr Jr.: Anytime Touchdown100%
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding: Anytime Touchdown100%
Harry Dalton III: Anytime Touchdown100%
Iverson Howard: Anytime Touchdown100%
UConn 2H O/U 6.5100%
Maryland O/U 3.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
Spread -22.5100%
Spread -19.5100%
Spread -18.5100%
Spread -15.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H O/U 18.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 24.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q O/U 9.5100%
3Q O/U 4.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 16.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Moneyline50%
O/U 53.50%
Maryland O/U 3.50%
UConn O/U 0.50%
UConn O/U 1.50%
UConn O/U 2.50%
UConn O/U 3.50%
O/U 52.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
UConn O/U 15.50%
UConn O/U 18.50%
UConn O/U 21.50%
UConn O/U 24.50%
Maryland O/U 39.50%
Maryland 1H O/U 17.50%
Maryland 1H O/U 19.50%
UConn 1H O/U 7.50%
UConn 1H O/U 9.50%
UConn 1H O/U 11.50%
UConn O/U 2.50%
Maryland O/U 38.50%
UConn O/U 16.50%
UConn O/U 19.50%
UConn O/U 22.50%
UConn O/U 25.50%
Maryland 1H O/U 18.50%
UConn 2H O/U 7.50%
UConn 2H O/U 9.50%
UConn 2H O/U 11.50%
UConn O/U 14.50%
UConn O/U 17.50%
UConn O/U 20.50%
UConn O/U 23.50%
UConn O/U 26.50%
DeJuan Williams: Anytime Touchdown0%
Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown0%
Kaleb Webb: Anytime Touchdown0%
Dorian Fleming: Anytime Touchdown0%
Ryan Manning: Anytime Touchdown0%
Ejani Shakir: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jordan Scott: Anytime Touchdown0%
Preston Howard: Anytime Touchdown0%
UConn 2H O/U 8.50%
UConn 2H O/U 10.50%
Spread -32.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 12.50%
2Q O/U 15.50%
2Q O/U 18.50%
2Q O/U 21.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%

Market context

Pronóstico: Maryland vs. UConn — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Maryland and UConn, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Maryland" if Maryland win the game. This market will resolve to …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Maryland vs. UConn at 100% for "Pronóstico: Maryland vs. UConn".

Maryland vs. UConn 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $60K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Maryland vs. UConn. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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