🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Pronóstico: Duke vs. Illinois

"Pronóstico: Duke vs. Illinois" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% 1Q O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Duke vs. Illinois

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
O/U 48.592%
Duke 1H O/U 8.591%
Duke 1H O/U 10.591%
Duke 1H O/U 12.591%
Illinois 1H O/U 12.591%
Illinois 1H O/U 14.591%
Illinois 1H O/U 16.591%
Duke 1H O/U 9.591%
Duke 1H O/U 11.591%
Duke 1H O/U 13.591%
Illinois 1H O/U 11.591%
Illinois 1H O/U 13.591%
Illinois 1H O/U 15.591%
1H O/U 19.591%
1H O/U 22.591%
1H O/U 25.591%
1H O/U 28.591%
2Q O/U 8.591%
2Q O/U 11.591%
O/U 40.582%
O/U 32.579%
O/U 54.561%
O/U 56.560%
O/U 42.559%
1H Spread -3.559%
O/U 53.558%
Spread -10.557%
Spread -6.555%
O/U 36.554%
O/U 52.554%
Spread -4.553%
O/U 51.552%
Spread -2.552%
1H Spread -2.552%
Spread -3.551%
O/U 60.551%
O/U 33.551%
Spread -7.550%
Spread -8.550%
Duke O/U 0.550%
Duke O/U 1.550%
Duke O/U 2.550%
Duke O/U 3.550%
Illinois O/U 0.550%
Illinois O/U 1.550%
Illinois O/U 2.550%
Illinois O/U 3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -21.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 34.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 58.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 70.550%
O/U 74.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Nate Sheppard: Anytime Touchdown50%
Collin Dixon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ca'Lil Valentine: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aidan Laughery: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah Hasley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Katin Houser: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hudson Clement: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jared Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brayden Trimble: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ty Robinson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kaden Feagin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Christian Abney: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jonah Burton: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Walker Eget: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 16.550%
Duke O/U 19.550%
Duke O/U 22.550%
Duke O/U 25.550%
Duke O/U 28.550%
Illinois O/U 23.550%
Illinois O/U 26.550%
Illinois O/U 29.550%
Illinois O/U 32.550%
Illinois O/U 35.550%
O/U 35.550%
Duke O/U 2.550%
Illinois O/U 3.550%
Illinois O/U 22.550%
Illinois O/U 25.550%
Illinois O/U 28.550%
Illinois O/U 31.550%
Illinois O/U 34.550%
Duke O/U 17.550%
Duke O/U 20.550%
Duke O/U 23.550%
Duke O/U 26.550%
Duke O/U 29.550%
Duke 1H O/U 14.550%
CJ Campbell Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Javen Nicholas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jake Taylor: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kavon Simmons: Anytime Touchdown50%
2Q Spread -4.550%
Duke 2H O/U 9.550%
Duke 2H O/U 11.550%
Duke 2H O/U 13.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 11.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 13.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 15.550%
Duke 2H O/U 10.550%
Duke 2H O/U 12.550%
Duke 2H O/U 14.550%
Duke 2H O/U 15.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 12.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 14.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 16.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -26.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 31.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q O/U 14.550%
2Q O/U 17.550%
2Q O/U 20.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 8.550%
4Q O/U 11.550%
4Q O/U 14.550%
4Q O/U 17.550%
4Q O/U 20.550%
Duke 2H O/U 8.550%
Spread -5.549%
1H Spread -4.549%
Spread -1.549%
O/U 72.548%
Spread -4.547%
Spread -17.547%
Spread -2.547%
Spread -23.547%
Spread -14.546%
Spread -13.545%
Spread -1.543%
Spread -10.543%
Spread -20.542%
Spread -14.541%
Spread -11.538%
1H Spread -7.538%
O/U 66.535%
Spread -7.535%
Spread -9.534%
Duke vs. Illinois27%
Spread -24.526%
Spread -11.521%
1Q Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: duke vs. illinois. In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Illinois, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. This market will resolve to "Illinois…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: Duke vs. Illinois".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $115K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Duke vs. Illinois. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

Trade Pronóstico: Duke vs. Illinois on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Mundial 2026 Grupos.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports