Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Royal Antwerp FC | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| SK Beveren | 0% |
Market context
Royal Antwerp FC face SK Beveren in the Belgium Pro League, with the market priced as if a home result is a foregone conclusion. That is broadly consistent with Antwerp’s stronger recent top-flight standing, but the head-to-head is less one-sided than the current crowd probability suggests: Beveren beat Antwerp 2-1 in a July 2025 friendly, and the last competitive meetings include Antwerp’s 3-2 win in January 2021 and a 2-2 cup draw in November 2022.[11][9]
The longer view is mixed rather than dominant. Across the available H2H datasets, the teams have split results more evenly than the 100% YES price implies: one source lists Antwerp 6 wins to Beveren’s 4 with no draws, while another shows 5 Antwerp wins, 5 Beveren wins and 3 draws; a separate historical pull gives both clubs eight wins from 23 meetings, with seven draws.[7][3][12] That matters because this pairing has produced competitive scorelines before, including Beveren wins in 2008 and 2009 and Antwerp’s 3-1 win in 2010, so the historical record does not fully support a completely risk-free home position.[5][10]
For traders, the main catalysts are the line-ups and any late squad news, because the market is effectively asking whether Antwerp can avoid an upset rather than whether they are the superior side. The most relevant pre-kick information is the official team sheet and confirmation of any suspensions or injuries; those details can materially shift a lopsided market if Antwerp rotate heavily or if Beveren field a first-choice attack. The Pro League match listing already shows Antwerp 3, Beveren 0 in one recent league meeting and 0-4 in another, underlining that prior form against this opponent has been strong at times, but not immune to variance.[4][7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $96K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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