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Pronóstico: Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Royal Antwerp FC 100% Draw 0% SK Beveren 0% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $184K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Royal Antwerp FC100%
Draw0%
SK Beveren0%

Market context

Royal Antwerp FC face SK Beveren in the Belgium Pro League, with the market priced as if a home result is a foregone conclusion. That is broadly consistent with Antwerp’s stronger recent top-flight standing, but the head-to-head is less one-sided than the current crowd probability suggests: Beveren beat Antwerp 2-1 in a July 2025 friendly, and the last competitive meetings include Antwerp’s 3-2 win in January 2021 and a 2-2 cup draw in November 2022.[11][9]

The longer view is mixed rather than dominant. Across the available H2H datasets, the teams have split results more evenly than the 100% YES price implies: one source lists Antwerp 6 wins to Beveren’s 4 with no draws, while another shows 5 Antwerp wins, 5 Beveren wins and 3 draws; a separate historical pull gives both clubs eight wins from 23 meetings, with seven draws.[7][3][12] That matters because this pairing has produced competitive scorelines before, including Beveren wins in 2008 and 2009 and Antwerp’s 3-1 win in 2010, so the historical record does not fully support a completely risk-free home position.[5][10]

For traders, the main catalysts are the line-ups and any late squad news, because the market is effectively asking whether Antwerp can avoid an upset rather than whether they are the superior side. The most relevant pre-kick information is the official team sheet and confirmation of any suspensions or injuries; those details can materially shift a lopsided market if Antwerp rotate heavily or if Beveren field a first-choice attack. The Pro League match listing already shows Antwerp 3, Beveren 0 in one recent league meeting and 0-4 in another, underlining that prior form against this opponent has been strong at times, but not immune to variance.[4][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Royal Antwerp FC at 100% for "Pronóstico: Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren".

Royal Antwerp FC 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $96K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Royal Antwerp FC vs. SK Beveren. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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