Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic | 97% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 Winner | 95% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Match O/U 22.5 | 32% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: us open, qualification atp: coleman wong vs dusan lajovic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Dusan Lajovic in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This marke…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →