🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Pronóstico: Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez 100% Completed Match 100% Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $197K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez100%
Completed Match100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 Winner100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Match O/U 21.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Match O/U 22.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Match O/U 23.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 Winner0%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Luis Carlos Alvarez in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carl… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets