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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $1.1M Liquidity: $277K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.580%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-6.550%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic36%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner34%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner21%
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: us open atp: mariano navone vs novak djokovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Novak Djokovic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navon…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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