🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo

Football snapshot for "Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 91% National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo 77% National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner 58% National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 54% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $248K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner91%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo77%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner58%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.554%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 21.553%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 22.544%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 23.543%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.56%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to pronóstico: national bank open: alex michelsen vs francisco cerundolo. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Francisco Cerundolo in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Al…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Fr… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets