🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 75% Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 69% Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 68% Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.5 67% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $139K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match75%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.569%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.568%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.567%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.561%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.560%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.559%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.552%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner45%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.545%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.544%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner44%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner43%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.543%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic38%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.535%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.532%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.525%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: wimbledon atp: felix auger-aliassime vs novak djokovic stands at 75% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs … on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets