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Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin

"Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Completed Match 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $114K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Game Spread +/-4.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin0%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 1 Winner0%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 2 Winner0%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Match O/U 21.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Match O/U 22.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: mouilleron-le-captif: dan added vs gauthier onclin. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Added and Gauthier Onclin in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauth… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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Related Topics

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