Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Thailand 1 - 2 Singapore | 100% |
| Thailand 0 - 0 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 0 - 1 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 1 - 0 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 0 - 2 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 1 - 1 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 2 - 0 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 0 - 3 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 2 - 1 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 3 - 0 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 1 - 3 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 2 - 2 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 3 - 1 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 2 - 3 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 3 - 2 Singapore | 0% |
| Thailand 3 - 3 Singapore | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Thailand and Singapore meet in the ASEAN Championship on 18 August 2026, with the match kicking off at 9:00 AM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 0% crowd probability suggests traders are heavily concentrated on "Any Other Score" rather than any single scoreline, which typically occurs when historical precedent shows these fixtures produce unpredictable outcomes or when one team's attacking output is difficult to forecast with precision.
Thailand holds a modest edge in the head-to-head record against Singapore, though recent ASEAN Championship encounters between regional rivals have often been tightly contested affairs. Singapore's defensive organisation under their current setup has tightened considerably, making low-scoring results (1–0, 0–0, 1–1) more frequent than the 2+ goal margins that dominated earlier iterations of these fixtures. Thailand's recent form in qualifying rounds showed variable attacking efficiency, with matches oscillating between narrow victories and goalless draws depending on opponent setup and pitch conditions.
Key developments to monitor include team sheet announcements in the week preceding the match, particularly any late injuries to Thailand's midfield orchestrators or Singapore's defensive anchors. Fixture congestion in the tournament schedule may affect squad rotation decisions, whilst weather conditions at the venue—humidity and pitch quality in August—historically favour compact, defensive football in Southeast Asian football. Any pre-match tactical leaks or formation changes from either camp could shift the probability distribution away from the current consensus toward specific scorelines.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Thailand vs. Singapore - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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