Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
7% | 93% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
7% | 93% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| DR Congo 0 - 1 Uzbekistan | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| DR Congo 0 - 2 Uzbekistan | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| DR Congo 2 - 0 Uzbekistan | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| DR Congo 1 - 2 Uzbekistan | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| DR Congo 3 - 0 Uzbekistan | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| DR Congo 2 - 2 Uzbekistan | 4% YES | 96% NO |
Market context
The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group K fixture between DR Congo and Uzbekistan, set for 7:30 PM ET on 27 June 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, is a decisive match for DR Congo’s qualification hopes, while Uzbekistan has already been eliminated. DR Congo currently trails in the group and must win to progress, whereas Uzbekistan, having lost their last four games including both World Cup outings, enters as clear underdogs with a 7% crowd-implied probability for an exact score outcome.
Historically, matches where one side faces elimination pressure and the other is already out often produce narrow, low-scoring results, particularly when the underdog has failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last eight games. DR Congo’s recent form shows resilience—they have not lost by more than a single goal since October 2025—and they have scored in three of their last six international matches, while Uzbekistan has managed only two goals across their last four games. Comparable Group-stage deciders in recent World Cups frequently resolved to 1-0 or 1-1 scores, framing the current 7% probability as plausible for a specific exact score like 1-0 DR Congo.
Traders should monitor final line-up announcements and any late injury updates, particularly regarding DR Congo’s top attacker Wissa, whose inclusion significantly boosts scoring probability. Both teams currently report clean bills of health, but Uzbekistan’s defensive frailties—conceding heavily in their last tournament matches—remain a critical vulnerability. As noted by Football Whispers, DR Congo are favoured at 11/10, with a 1-0 scoreline predicted, making line-up confirmations and pre-match odds shifts the key catalysts before the settlement window closes.
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan - Exact Score on PolyGram
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