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Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 80% Japan Corners: O/U 2.5 74% 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 72% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 70% Volume: $170K Liquidity: $854K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.580%
Japan Corners: O/U 2.574%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.572%
Total Corners: O/U 7.570%
Team to Take First Corner64%
Brazil Corners: O/U 4.563%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.561%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.554%
Total Corners: O/U 8.552%
Japan Corners: O/U 3.551%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Brazil Corners: O/U 5.549%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.543%
Total Corners: O/U 9.542%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.539%
Total Corners: O/U 10.533%
Brazil Corners: O/U 6.532%
Japan Corners: O/U 4.532%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.527%
Total Corners: O/U 11.523%
Total Corners: O/U 12.513%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners prediction market currently prices this outcome at 80% YES. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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