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Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

"Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 91% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 88% Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots 77% Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots 71% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 29 Jun 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots91%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots88%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots77%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots71%
Rayan: 1+ shots63%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots60%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots56%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists54%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots54%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots54%
Endrick: 1+ shots54%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots52%
Casemiro: 1+ shots51%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots51%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots51%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ goals + assists50%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists50%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assists49%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target49%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals + assists49%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target49%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target49%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target49%
Danilo Santos: 4+ goals + assists49%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target49%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots on target49%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots on target49%
Casemiro: 2+ shots on target48%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots on target48%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots on target48%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target48%
Rayan: 3+ shots on target48%
Alisson: 2+ saves48%
Alisson: 4+ saves48%
Alisson: 5+ saves48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 5+ saves48%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists48%
Endrick: 1+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 2+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 3+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 4+ shots on target48%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target48%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots on target48%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots on target48%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots on target48%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots on target48%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots on target47%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots on target47%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals + assists47%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ goals + assists47%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots47%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 2+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 3+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 4+ saves47%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists47%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists47%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists47%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots on target47%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ goals + assists46%
Rayan: 4+ goals + assists46%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots46%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists46%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots45%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ goals + assists45%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots44%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target42%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assists41%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals39%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target39%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists38%
Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists37%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots37%
Endrick: 2+ shots36%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists36%
Rayan: 1+ shots on target33%
Rayan: 2+ shots32%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots32%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots31%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals + assists31%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals + assists31%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots31%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots30%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots30%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals30%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target29%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots28%
Alisson: 3+ saves28%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals + assists27%
Rayan: 2+ goals + assists27%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots27%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots25%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists25%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots24%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists24%
Rayan: 3+ shots23%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals + assists23%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots23%
Endrick: 3+ shots23%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots23%
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots22%
Danilo Santos: 3+ goals + assists22%
Rayan: 1+ goals + assists21%
Casemiro: 2+ goals + assists21%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals + assists21%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists21%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists21%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots21%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target20%
Casemiro: 1+ shots on target20%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target20%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals + assists20%
Rayan: 3+ goals + assists19%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals19%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots19%
Endrick: 4+ shots19%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots19%
Koki Ogawa: 5+ shots19%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots19%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots18%
Rayan: 1+ goals18%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists17%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals + assists17%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists16%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots16%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals + assists16%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals + assists16%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists16%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots15%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists15%
Rayan: 4+ shots14%
Casemiro: 2+ shots14%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots14%
Endrick: 1+ goals14%
Rayan: 2+ shots on target14%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals + assists14%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots14%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots on target14%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots on target13%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots13%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots13%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals13%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals13%
Rayan: 3+ goals12%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists12%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots12%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals12%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target11%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals11%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assists11%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots11%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Rayan: 1+ assists10%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ shots10%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals10%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ goals10%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals10%
Casemiro: 3+ goals + assists10%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists10%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots10%
Rayan: 5+ shots9%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals9%
Neymar Jr: 2+ assists9%
Rayan: 2+ assists9%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals9%
Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots9%
Neymar Jr: 5+ shots9%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals + assists9%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ goals9%
Endrick: 5+ shots9%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals9%
Casemiro: 1+ goals8%
Casemiro: 1+ assists8%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots8%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots8%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target7%
Danilo Santos: 1+ assists7%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals6%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ assists6%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ assists6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals6%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals6%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals6%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists5%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ assists5%
Endrick: 2+ goals5%
Danilo Santos: 2+ assists5%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists4%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ goals3%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ assists3%
Casemiro: 2+ assists3%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ assists3%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ assists3%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assists3%
Rayan: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assists2%
Endrick: 3+ goals2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals2%
Raphinha: 3+ goals2%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals1%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals1%
Casemiro: 2+ goals1%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals1%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 1+ goals1%
Raphinha: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 23% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-06-29T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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