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Pronóstico: Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Emam Ashour: 1+ goals 100% Emam Ashour: 1+ shots 100% Emam Ashour: 2+ shots 100% Emam Ashour: 3+ shots 100% Volume: $250K Liquidity: $589 Closes: 3 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Emam Ashour: 1+ goals100%
Emam Ashour: 1+ shots100%
Emam Ashour: 2+ shots100%
Emam Ashour: 3+ shots100%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots100%
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shots100%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots100%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots100%
Emam Ashour: 1+ shots on target100%
Emam Ashour: 1+ goals + assists100%
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots91%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on target82%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots on target51%
Emam Ashour: 2+ shots on target50%
Emam Ashour: 3+ shots on target50%
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shots on target50%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots on target50%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots36%
Trezeguet: 1+ shots on target10%
Emam Ashour: 2+ goals0%
Mo Touré: 1+ goals0%
Mo Touré: 2+ goals0%
Mo Touré: 3+ goals0%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals0%
Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals0%
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals0%
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goals0%
Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goals0%
Nishan Velupillay: 1+ goals0%
Nishan Velupillay: 2+ goals0%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals0%
Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals0%
Tete Yengi: 1+ goals0%
Tete Yengi: 2+ goals0%
Tete Yengi: 3+ goals0%
Trezeguet: 1+ goals0%
Trezeguet: 2+ goals0%
Trezeguet: 3+ goals0%
Emam Ashour: 4+ shots0%
Emam Ashour: 5+ shots0%
Mo Touré: 1+ shots0%
Mo Touré: 2+ shots0%
Mo Touré: 3+ shots0%
Mo Touré: 4+ shots0%
Mo Touré: 5+ shots0%
Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots0%
Mohamed Salah: 4+ shots0%
Mohamed Salah: 5+ shots0%
Nestory Irankunda: 3+ shots0%
Nestory Irankunda: 4+ shots0%
Nestory Irankunda: 5+ shots0%
Nishan Velupillay: 1+ shots0%
Nishan Velupillay: 2+ shots0%
Nishan Velupillay: 3+ shots0%
Nishan Velupillay: 4+ shots0%
Nishan Velupillay: 5+ shots0%
Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots0%
Omar Marmoush: 4+ shots0%
Omar Marmoush: 5+ shots0%
Tete Yengi: 1+ shots0%
Tete Yengi: 2+ shots0%
Tete Yengi: 3+ shots0%
Tete Yengi: 4+ shots0%
Tete Yengi: 5+ shots0%
Trezeguet: 1+ shots0%
Trezeguet: 2+ shots0%
Trezeguet: 3+ shots0%
Trezeguet: 4+ shots0%
Trezeguet: 5+ shots0%
Emam Ashour: 1+ assists0%
Emam Ashour: 2+ assists0%
Mo Touré: 1+ assists0%
Mo Touré: 2+ assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ assists0%
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ assists0%
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ assists0%
Nishan Velupillay: 1+ assists0%
Nishan Velupillay: 2+ assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ assists0%
Tete Yengi: 1+ assists0%
Tete Yengi: 2+ assists0%
Trezeguet: 1+ assists0%
Trezeguet: 2+ assists0%
Mo Touré: 1+ shots on target0%
Mo Touré: 2+ shots on target0%
Mo Touré: 3+ shots on target0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots on target0%
Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots on target0%
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots on target0%
Nestory Irankunda: 3+ shots on target0%
Nishan Velupillay: 1+ shots on target0%
Nishan Velupillay: 2+ shots on target0%
Nishan Velupillay: 3+ shots on target0%
Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots on target0%
Tete Yengi: 1+ shots on target0%
Tete Yengi: 2+ shots on target0%
Tete Yengi: 3+ shots on target0%
Trezeguet: 2+ shots on target0%
Trezeguet: 3+ shots on target0%
Maty Ryan: 2+ saves0%
Maty Ryan: 3+ saves0%
Maty Ryan: 4+ saves0%
Maty Ryan: 5+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 2+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 3+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 4+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 5+ saves0%
Emam Ashour: 2+ goals + assists0%
Emam Ashour: 3+ goals + assists0%
Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assists0%
Mo Touré: 1+ goals + assists0%
Mo Touré: 2+ goals + assists0%
Mo Touré: 3+ goals + assists0%
Mo Touré: 4+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assists0%
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals + assists0%
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goals + assists0%
Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goals + assists0%
Nestory Irankunda: 4+ goals + assists0%
Nishan Velupillay: 1+ goals + assists0%
Nishan Velupillay: 2+ goals + assists0%
Nishan Velupillay: 3+ goals + assists0%
Nishan Velupillay: 4+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assists0%
Tete Yengi: 1+ goals + assists0%
Tete Yengi: 2+ goals + assists0%
Tete Yengi: 3+ goals + assists0%
Tete Yengi: 4+ goals + assists0%
Trezeguet: 1+ goals + assists0%
Trezeguet: 2+ goals + assists0%
Trezeguet: 3+ goals + assists0%
Trezeguet: 4+ goals + assists0%

Market context

Pronóstico: Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Australia and Egypt, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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