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Pronóstico: Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 77% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 77% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? 77% Volume: $719K Liquidity: $94K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?77%
Ends in Daytime51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 1 Winner25%
Match Winner22%
Game 2 Winner21%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Pronóstico: Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between ZEDI Esports and GamerLegion in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ZEDI Esports" i…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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