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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Ends in Daytime 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $260K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between Yellow Submarine and Vici Gaming in the Games of the Future Group A, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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