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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 95% Both Teams Beat Roshan 90% Volume: $785K Liquidity: $538K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?95%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?51%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Game 2 Winner3%
Match Winner1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and 1win in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 8 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.p…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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