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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 88% O/U 3.5 Games 69% Map 4 Winner 57% Map 2 Winner 51% Volume: $341K Liquidity: $75K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.588%
O/U 3.5 Games69%
Map 4 Winner57%
Map 2 Winner51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-9.5) vs NIP (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map 1 Winner45%
Match Winner43%
Map 3 Winner39%
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)38%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Map Handicap: GL (-2.5) vs NIP (+2.5)19%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between NIP and GamerLegion in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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