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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 73% Map 2 Winner 68% Map 1 Winner 59% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 53% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $250K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner73%
Map 2 Winner68%
Map 1 Winner59%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.553%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)44%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.533%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.531%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 73% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: magic vs eyeballers (bo3) - 1win private club #1 playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between magic and EYEBALLERS in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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