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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

"Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Match Winner 83% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 74% Volume: $801K Liquidity: $393K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Match Winner83%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.574%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)65%
Map 2 Winner61%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Phantom (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Phantom (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Phantom (-9.5) vs Heroic (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.549%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs Phantom (+6.5)26%
Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Phantom (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs Phantom (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Phantom (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Phantom (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: counter-strike: heroic vs phantom (bo3) - stake ranked episode 3 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinals 1 match between Heroic and Phantom in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 1:30…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) … on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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