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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8

"Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5) 90% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $204K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-6.5) vs 6666 (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-9.5) vs 6666 (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-12.5) vs 6666 (+12.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-6.5) vs 6666 (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-12.5) vs 6666 (+12.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-9.5) vs 6666 (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: IS (-1.5) vs 6666 (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-6.5) vs 6666 (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 6666 (-3.5) vs Iberian Soul (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 6666 (-6.5) vs Iberian Soul (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: 6666 (-1.5) vs Iberian Soul (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8 prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between 6666 and Iberian Soul in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8, initially scheduled for August 8 at 11:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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