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Pronóstico: Notre Dame vs. Purdue

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Notre Dame vs. Purdue" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Notre Dame vs. Purdue 100% Spread -14.5 100% O/U 37.5 100% 1H Spread -19.5 100% Volume: $147K Liquidity: $57K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Notre Dame vs. Purdue

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Notre Dame vs. Purdue100%
Spread -14.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
1H Spread -19.5100%
1H Spread -17.5100%
1H Spread -16.5100%
1H Spread -15.5100%
1H Spread -14.5100%
1H Spread -12.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -13.5100%
2Q Spread -11.5100%
2Q Spread -10.5100%
2Q Spread -9.5100%
2Q Spread -8.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q O/U 11.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
2Q O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 20.5100%
2Q O/U 23.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 24.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
Spread -24.597%
Spread -20.596%
O/U 39.595%
Spread -17.593%
Spread -27.590%
Spread -21.589%
Spread -30.588%
Spread -23.587%
Spread -33.582%
O/U 45.581%
O/U 51.576%
Spread -35.572%
O/U 41.571%
O/U 43.569%
O/U 47.567%
Spread -34.566%
Spread -31.565%
Spread -29.565%
Spread -32.563%
4Q Spread -6.562%
Notre Dame O/U 45.562%
Spread -36.560%
Spread -38.559%
O/U 49.557%
Spread -13.556%
O/U 53.553%
Spread -25.551%
4Q O/U 7.551%
Spread -28.550%
Spread -26.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -11.550%
Spread -10.550%
Spread -7.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 77.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -15.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
2H O/U 34.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Notre Dame O/U 36.550%
Notre Dame O/U 39.550%
Notre Dame O/U 42.550%
Purdue O/U 8.550%
Purdue O/U 11.550%
Purdue O/U 14.550%
Purdue O/U 17.550%
Purdue O/U 20.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.550%
Purdue 2H O/U 5.550%
Purdue 2H O/U 7.550%
Purdue 2H O/U 9.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Purdue O/U 1.550%
Notre Dame O/U 5.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.550%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Spread -41.549%
Notre Dame O/U 48.549%
Spread -45.544%
Spread -42.544%
Spread -44.539%
O/U 55.537%
O/U 61.537%
O/U 65.536%
O/U 67.536%
O/U 71.535%
3Q Moneyline35%
O/U 57.531%
Spread -48.526%
O/U 59.523%
O/U 63.516%
O/U 69.58%
O/U 75.55%
1H O/U 36.50%
1Q Spread -11.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
Purdue 1H O/U 5.50%
Purdue 1H O/U 7.50%
Purdue 1H O/U 9.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: notre dame vs. purdue stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and Purdue, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. T…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 100% for "Pronóstico: Notre Dame vs. Purdue".

Notre Dame vs. Purdue 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $147K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Notre Dame vs. Purdue. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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