Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 38.5 | 90% |
| O/U 40.5 | 89% |
| O/U 42.5 | 86% |
| O/U 44.5 | 85% |
| O/U 46.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| O/U 48.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 75% |
| O/U 50.5 | 73% |
| Missouri O/U 20.5 | 71% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 61% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Spread -23.5 | 53% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 53% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Spread -26.5 | 52% |
| O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| Spread -22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Mississippi State O/U 32.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| O/U 60.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| O/U 62.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Mississippi State O/U 35.5 | 39% |
| Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| 1H Moneyline | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| O/U 64.5 | 36% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| Spread -11.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -12.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| O/U 68.5 | 30% |
| O/U 66.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Mississippi State O/U 38.5 | 28% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| O/U 70.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| O/U 72.5 | 18% |
| O/U 74.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| O/U 76.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 78.5 | 12% |
| Spread -11.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
Market context
The Pronóstico: Missouri vs. Mississippi State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Mississippi State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This market will…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $151K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Missouri vs. Mississippi State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Pronóstico: Missouri vs. Mississippi State on Mundial 2026 Grupos
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →