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Pronóstico: Central Arkansas vs. Florida State

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Central Arkansas vs. Florida State" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $117K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Central Arkansas vs. Florida State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
Florida State O/U 23.5100%
Florida State O/U 26.5100%
Florida State O/U 29.5100%
Florida State O/U 32.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5100%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.591%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.591%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.553%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.549%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.548%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.510%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.510%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 20.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 23.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 26.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 29.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 32.50%
Florida State O/U 35.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 11.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 13.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 15.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 11.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 13.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 15.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 12.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 14.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 16.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.50%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Central Arkansas vs. Florida State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Central Arkansas and Florida State, scheduled for September 26 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Arkansas" if Central Arkansas win the ga…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: Central Arkansas vs. Florida State".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Central Arkansas vs. Florida State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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