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Pronóstico: Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

CR Flamengo 99% Mirassol FC 1% Draw 1% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $417K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CR Flamengo99%
Mirassol FC1%
Draw1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: mirassol fc vs. cr flamengo stands at 99% likelihood according to current market consensus. This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between Mirassol FC and CR Flamengo.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices CR Flamengo at 99% for "Pronóstico: Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo".

CR Flamengo 99% Other 1%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Pronóstico: Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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