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Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul

"Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 76% National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 59% National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 53% National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 51% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $538K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.576%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.559%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.553%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.551%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.551%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.547%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.544%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner43%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner41%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.541%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul39%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.536%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.528%
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.521%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of pronóstico: national bank open: learner tien vs tommy paul. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Tommy Paul in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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