Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Wilson Leite | 100% Nick Hardt | 0% Wilson Leite |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Wilson Leite Set 2 Winner | 100% Hardt | 0% Leite |
| Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Wilson Leite Match O/U 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Wilson Leite Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
| Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Wilson Leite Match O/U 22.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: piracicaba: nick hardt vs wilson leite. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Wilson Leite in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ni…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Wilson Leite on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →