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Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner 100% Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $563K Liquidity: $315K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner100%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.575%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud59%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.555%
Completed Match50%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner43%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.54%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: swiss open: jaime faria vs casper ruud. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Casper Ruud in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jai…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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