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Pronóstico: San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 100% Completed Match 100% San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 Winner 100% San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $158K Liquidity: $186K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes100%
Completed Match100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Total Sets: O/U 2.51%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 10.51%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 22.51%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 23.51%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Game Spread +/-4.51%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

The Pronóstico: San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets