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Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Michael Brennan 80% Beau Hossler 13% Benjamin James 6% Sung-Jae Im 2% Volume: $266K Liquidity: $595K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Brennan80%
Beau Hossler13%
Benjamin James6%
Sung-Jae Im2%
Tom Kim2%
Chris Kirk2%
Maverick McNealy2%
Zach Bauchou1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Davis Chatfield1%
Trace Crowe1%
Joel Dahmen1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Harry Hall1%
Rico Hoey1%
Tom Hoge1%
Rasmus Hojgaard1%
Patton Kizzire1%
Brooks Koepka1%
Ben Kohles1%
Denny McCarthy1%
Matt McCarty1%
Alexander Noren1%
Andrew Novak1%
Thorbjorn Olesen1%
John Parry1%
Marco Penge1%
Chandler Phillips1%
Kihei Akina0%
Daniel Berger0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Blades Brown0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Bud Cauley0%
Luke Clanton0%
Eric Cole0%
Tyler Collet0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Cam Davis0%
Jason Day0%
Ze-Cheng Dou0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart0%
Nick Dunlap0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Harris English0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Tony Finau0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Steven Fisk0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Brice Garnett0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Doug Ghim0%
Lucas Glover0%
Max Greyserman0%
Ben Griffin0%
Emiliano Grillo0%
Brian Harman0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Kensei Hirata0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Lee Hodges0%
Billy Horschel0%
Cooper Hrabak0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Takumi Kanaya0%
Jeffrey Kang0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Michael Kim0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Christo Lamprecht0%
Henry Lebioda0%
Hao-Tong Li0%
David Lipsky0%
Peter Malnati0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Max McGreevy0%
Mac Meissner0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Taylor Moore0%
William Mouw0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Pontus Nyholm0%
Cheng Tsung Pan0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Seamus Power0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Aaron Rai0%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: pga tour: wyndham championship winner stands at 80% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Wyndham Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Wyndham Champio…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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