🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Pronóstico: PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Scottie Scheffler 81% S.Y. Noh 50% Kurt Kitayama 44% Maverick McNealy 43% Volume: $59K Liquidity: $702K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler81%
S.Y. Noh50%
Kurt Kitayama44%
Maverick McNealy43%
Hideki Matsuyama41%
Corey Conners34%
Keith Mitchell32%
Jordan L. Smith32%
Doug Ghim32%
Sung-Jae Im31%
Sam Stevens31%
Mac Meissner31%
Jake Knapp30%
Pierceson Coody29%
Jackson Suber28%
Max Homa28%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout28%
Jackson Koivun27%
Johnny Keefer27%
Tom Kim26%
Tony Finau26%
Michael Brennan26%
Brian Harman26%
Gary Woodland25%
Ben Kohles25%
Michael Kim24%
Casey Jarvis24%
Benjamin James23%
Davis Thompson23%
Max Greyserman22%
Ricky Castillo22%
Emiliano Grillo22%
Zac Blair22%
Kevin Yu21%
Beau Hossler21%
Rico Hoey21%
Zach Bauchou21%
Steven Fisk20%
Mackenzie Hughes20%
Lucas Glover20%
Lee Hodges20%
Keita Nakajima20%
Denny McCarthy20%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen19%
Taylor Pendrith19%
Max McGreevy19%
William Mouw18%
Aldrich Potgieter18%
Andrew Putnam18%
Seamus Power18%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju17%
Taylor Moore17%
John Parry16%
Preston Stout16%
Jesper Svensson16%
Matt Kuchar16%
Takumi Kanaya16%
Chris Kirk16%
Austin Smotherman16%
Tom Hoge16%
Kevin Roy16%
Joel Dahmen16%
Stephan Jaeger15%
Ze-Cheng Dou15%
Hao-Tong Li14%
Thorbjorn Olesen14%
Billy Horschel14%
A.J. Ewart14%
Austin Eckroat14%
Brandt Snedeker14%
Patrick Fishburn13%
Garrick Higgo13%
David Lipsky13%
Kristoffer Ventura12%
Karl Vilips12%
Aaron Wise12%
Patrick Rodgers11%
Matthieu Pavon11%
Nick Dunlap11%
Neal Shipley11%
David Skinns11%
Trace Crowe11%
Lanto Griffin11%
Erik Van Rooyen10%
Luke Clanton10%
Mark Hubbard10%
Chandler Phillips10%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart9%
Ryder Cowan9%
Chad Ramey9%
Pontus Nyholm9%
Hayden Springer9%
Adam Hadwin9%
Harry Higgs8%
Gordon Sargent7%
Vince Whaley7%
Jimmy Stanger6%
Luke List5%
Cameron Champ5%
Jason Day0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to pronóstico: pga tour: 3m open top 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not anno…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Pronóstico: PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports