Pronóstico: Croatia vs. Ghana - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup Group L fixture between Croatia and Ghana takes place on Saturday, 27 June 2026 at 5:00 PM ET in Philadelphia, with the market focusing solely on the 90-minute result. Croatia enters with a 1.90 points-per-game average and a recent 1-0 victory over Panama, while Ghana has drawn 0-0 with England and won 1-0 against Panama, showing defensive resilience but limited attacking output. Historical data reveals the two sides have met twice overall, with Croatia winning once and losing once, and no prior World Cup encounters between them, meaning the 12% crowd-implied probability for an exact score must be read against a backdrop of low-scoring, unpredictable history rather than established dominance.

Traders should monitor final squad announcements for injury updates, particularly regarding Croatia’s Petar Musa and Ghana’s Antoine Semenyo, whose fitness could shift goal expectations. Sky Sports notes Croatia’s recent 2-4 loss to England exposed defensive frailties, while Ghana’s 0-2 defeat to Mexico highlights similar vulnerabilities against top-tier attacks. With both teams averaging under 1.5 goals scored in recent World Cup matches and a combined clean-sheet rate of 60%, the exact score market hinges on whether either side breaks their low-scoring trend. Watch for pre-match line-up confirmations via FotMob, as substitutions or tactical shifts could alter the goal probability significantly before the settlement window closes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Croatia vs. Ghana - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.