Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
Market context
DN SOOPers lost their KeSPA Cup Group Stage BO1 against KT Rolster on 20 July 2026, with KT winning Game 1 to take the match 1–0. The result confirms KT Rolster as the clear victor in this specific contest, rendering the YES outcome for DN SOOPers impossible under the market’s resolution rules.
Historically, KT Rolster dominates this head-to-head, having won six of eight prior meetings against DN SOOPers, including a 2–0 victory in their most recent encounter on 30 May 2026 during the KeSPA Cup. Although DN SOOPers secured a 2–0 win in the 2026 LCK Cup, that success occurred in a longer BO3 format; in single-game BO1s, KT’s edge in draft execution and early objective control has consistently prevailed, aligning with the 0% crowd-implied probability for DN SOOPers.
Traders should monitor official LCK announcements for any roster changes or suspensions affecting either side before future KeSPA Cup matches, as both teams sit in mid-to-lower LCK table positions with limited preparation time. KT Rolster currently ranks #38 globally on Strafe’s LoL rankings, while DN SOOPers sits at #69, reflecting a tangible performance gap that has shaped recent outcomes. No new injury reports or lineup shifts have been published as of 21 July 2026, confirming the match result stands as final.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Ke… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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