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Pronóstico: LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Football snapshot for "Pronóstico: LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 0% Volume: $612K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

DN SOOPers secured a 1–0 victory over BNK FEARX in their KeSPA Cup 2026 Group Stage BO1 on 20 July, overturning a nine-match head-to-head losing streak where they had won zero times against the opponent [2][4]. This result breaks a dominant historical pattern in which BNK FEARX won all nine prior encounters, including a 2–0 sweep in May 2026 LCK matches, making the current 100% YES probability on DN SOOPers a reflection of the match outcome rather than a pre-game forecast [3][4].

Traders should monitor official KeSPA Cup group-stage standings and any roster adjustments for upcoming rounds, as DN SOOPers’ recent form shows only two wins in their last five matches despite their world ranking of #65–#69, while BNK FEARX remains unranked globally but holds superior recent LCK results [2][4]. The match was confirmed as a Best of 1, though some sources initially listed it as Best of 3; the final result of 1–0 confirms the BO1 format was played and completed [1][5].

With the settlement window ending 2026-07-20T13:10:00Z and the match already concluded, the market resolves to DN SOOPers, aligning with the live score and post-match reports confirming their win [1][5]. No cancellations, ties, or forfeitures occurred, eliminating the 50-50 resolution condition and cementing the outcome as definitive [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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