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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Virtus.pro 0% TEAM VISION 100% Volume: $1.6M Liquidity: $789K Closes: 25 Jun 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)0% Virtus.pro100% TEAM VISION
First Blood in Game 1?0% Virtus.pro100% TEAM VISION
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100% Over0% Under
Match Winner0% Virtus.pro100% TEAM VISION
O/U 2.5 Games100% Over0% Under
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)0% TEAM VISION100% Virtus.pro

Market context

Virtus.pro and TEAM VISION are set to clash in the Upper bracket semifinal 2 of The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, with the match scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on 25 June. The market currently assigns a 0% probability to Virtus.pro winning, suggesting the crowd views TEAM VISION as the overwhelming favourite despite Virtus.pro’s historical pedigree in regional qualifiers.

Historically, 0% probabilities in regional qualifier BO3s have rarely held when the underdog is a former top-tier squad like Virtus.pro, who revamped their roster in March 2025 with TA2000, lorenof, and Daxak[4]. Comparable cases from TI 2022 and TI 2021 show Virtus.pro overcoming similar deficits, including a 2–1 victory against Vici Gaming in a Last Chance Qualifier[2]. The current line appears to ignore Virtus.pro’s sustained success since 2017 and their recent roster stability, which often correlates with late-form surges in high-pressure qualifiers.

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements for any roster changes or suspensions, particularly for Virtus.pro’s active players who joined on 28 March 2025[4]. TEAM VISION’s current 2–0 lead in live stats from the ongoing match suggests momentum, but the BO3 format allows for reversals if Virtus.pro adapts mid-match[1]. Watch for post-game interviews or Liquipedia updates confirming whether the match proceeds as scheduled, as delays beyond seven days would reset the market to 50–50[4]. No external news source has yet confirmed a suspension, but the live score discrepancy remains a key catalyst for line movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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