🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Pronóstico: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Ends in Daytime 100% First Blood in Game 2? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 50% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 50% Volume: $657K Liquidity: $399K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Any Player Rampage5%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

The Esports World Cup Group C features a Best of 2 Dota 2 match between Vici Gaming and PARIVISION, scheduled for 3:30 PM ET on 8 July 2026. This is the first competitive encounter between the two sides, with PARIVISION entering as the clear favourite despite Vici Gaming’s recent resilience.

Historical precedents in Group-stage Dota 2 show that 0% crowd-implied probabilities for a team often reflect a severe mismatch in world ranking and recent form, not just a temporary slump. PARIVISION sits at world ranking #7 (Strafe) and has won four of their last five matches, while Vici Gaming, ranked #16, has also won four of five but trails significantly in bookmaker odds (1.65 for PARIVISION) and Strafe user votes (86.1% favouring PARIVISION)[1][2]. The 0% figure for Vici Gaming aligns with past cases where a lower-ranked team faced a top-tier CIS squad with a proven Grand Finals pedigree, such as PARIVISION’s recent 2-1 upset over BB Team to reach the Grand Finals[5].

Traders should monitor live line-up confirmations and any in-match delays, as PARIVISION’s captain Dukalis and coach Puppey have a stable roster with no reported suspensions or injuries[7]. The match begins online at 14:00 UTC; if it starts but is not completed, the market resolves to the winner determined by the opponent’s forfeit. Watch for real-time updates on EGamersWorld or Strafe for any shifts in pre-match odds or roster changes that could alter the 0% probability[3][1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) … on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →