Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 78% |
| Match Winner | 60% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 55% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 55% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Game 2 Winner | 25% |
| Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) | 22% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
Market context
Power Rangers meet Yellow Submarine in a best-of-three upper-bracket quarter-final at the EPL Masters Playoffs, with the market leaning heavily towards Yellow Submarine at 86% YES. The main historical read is simple: the head-to-head has favoured Yellow Submarine, who have won the recent meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 series in March and another 2-1 win in June, both in comparable playoff or qualifier settings.[5][12][16][17] That said, Power Rangers arrive with stronger short-term momentum on the public match pages, which list a five-match winning streak and a 71% win rate over the last month, while Yellow Submarine are described as more consistent over a longer six-month sample.[1]
For traders, the key catalysts are confirmation of line-ups and whether either side keeps the same five that have been shown on recent match listings, because Dota 2 markets often move sharply if a stand-in appears or a roster is changed at the last minute.[1] The schedule also matters: the match was listed to start at 09:00 UTC, and the market settles from the match result unless the series is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond the seven-day window.[3] Power Rangers’ recent wins came mostly against lower-ranked opposition, so the first map should offer a better test of whether their current run is real against a side they have struggled to beat directly.[1]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarin… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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