Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Grand Final of the Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs between shimmer and MIBR fe has already concluded, with MIBR fe securing a decisive 3-1 victory over their American counterparts. The match, scheduled for 26 June at 17:30 UTC, saw MIBR fe dominate on Nuke, Dust2, and Inferno, while shimmer managed only a narrow win on Ancient before the series ended. This result confirms the outcome of the prediction market, which currently sits at 100% YES for shimmer, creating a stark contradiction between the market’s implied probability and the settled real-world result.

Historically, markets that retain a 100% probability for a team after a match has been completed and lost by that team are typically flagged as erroneous or unadjusted, often due to settlement delays or data feed failures. In comparable esports cases, such discrepancies are resolved once official results are verified, leading to a rapid correction in pricing. The persistence of a 100% YES for shimmer despite MIBR fe’s clear win suggests the market has not yet incorporated the official outcome, a situation that mirrors past instances where settlement windows lagged behind match completion by several hours.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements from FERJEE and Liquipedia for any updates regarding result verification or market settlement adjustments. A recent post-match discussion on Reddit confirms MIBR fe’s title win, citing map scores of 13-9 on Ancient, 25-21 on Nuke, 13-10 on Dust2, and 13-4 on Inferno [2]. The key dependency is the formal confirmation of the result by the tournament organiser, which will trigger the market’s resolution to MIBR fe. Until this occurs, the 100% YES for shimmer remains a mispriced anomaly that will likely correct once the settlement window processes the verified outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.