Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Lower bracket final of Super DraculaN Group A, where Sashi Esport faced Inner Circle Esports in a Best-of-Three Counter-Strike 2 match initially scheduled for 25 June at 2:00PM ET. The match has already concluded, with Inner Circle Esports securing a 2–1 victory, rendering the crowd-implied 0% probability for Sashi Esport a factual reflection of the settled result rather than a speculative forecast[3].

Historically, when a match finishes before the settlement window closes, markets with zero probability for the losing side simply confirm the outcome, as seen in prior Thunderpick and A1 Gaming League fixtures where Sashi Esport’s form dipped against stronger opponents like Alliance and 9INE[1][2]. In such cases, the 0% line is not a warning of cancellation but a confirmation of defeat, mirroring how Inner Circle Esports’ 60% win rate over the last month and 71% Inferno map dominance translated into tangible BO3 success against Sashi’s inconsistent recent record[2].

Traders should monitor official Liquipedia updates for any post-match roster changes or disciplinary actions, as Inner Circle Esports (formerly stylized as Inner Circle) entered Counter-Strike 2 in January 2025 and has shown rapid adaptation, while Sashi Esport’s lineup remains stable but underperforming[2][4]. No further catalysts exist for this settled match, but upcoming Group Stage fixtures for both teams will be critical for assessing their trajectory in the Super DraculaN tournament, with Inner Circle’s recent 2–0 win against Spirit Academy and Sashi’s 2–1 loss to Acend highlighting the current form gap[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.