Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RF (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Procyon Gaming faces Red Feet in a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 match at the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, scheduled for 15 July 2026 at 16:00 local time. The Argentine side enters with a stronger recent record, having secured series wins over GUARA, R2, and MIBR Academy in the prior edition, while Red Feet has struggled with only one win in their last five matches [2][3]. Procyon is ranked #188 globally compared to Red Feet’s #227, and betting markets reflect this disparity, with Procyon priced at 1.23 versus Red Feet at 3.70 [5].
Historical precedents in lower-tier South American CS2 events show that when a team holds a 100+ ranking advantage and recent series wins against comparable opponents, the underdog rarely converts a 0% crowd-implied probability into a victory unless line-up instability occurs. In similar CCT group-stage matches, teams ranked below #220 with only one win in five games have failed to win a single map against sides with consistent Mirage and Dust2 results [2][3]. The 0% probability suggests the market views Red Feet as virtually non-competitive unless a sudden roster change or disqualification alters the matchup.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for roster confirmations, as Procyon’s core of lenci, pavv, MaxOff, AGL, and next has shown map consistency, while Red Feet’s form remains volatile [3]. Any delay beyond seven days or cancellation would trigger a 50-50 resolution, but current status lists the match as “upcoming” with no reported forfeits [4]. Watch for Strafe user vote shifts, which currently show 94.5% backing Procyon, and any late-breaking news on player availability that could disrupt the expected outcome [2].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Red Fe… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →