Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final between Infinite and Betclic Apogee Esports in Super DraculaN Group B, which was scheduled for 25 June at 18:20 UTC. The match has already concluded, with Infinite securing a decisive 2–0 victory over Betclic Apogee Esports, rendering the current 0% YES probability for Infinite an impossible market state as the outcome is fixed[1].

Historically, markets that retain a zero probability after a match result is confirmed represent a critical failure in settlement logic rather than a genuine trading signal. Comparable cases in esports prediction markets show that when a team wins a Best-of-3 match 2–0, the market must resolve immediately to that winner; any lingering zero probability suggests the settlement window has not yet processed the final score or the market definition is flawed regarding the match status[1][2].

Traders should monitor the official settlement announcement on Sofascore and the tournament page on GosuGamers to confirm the resolution timestamp, as the delay beyond the scheduled date is the primary catalyst for the market anomaly[1][2]. No further line-up news or suspensions apply given the match is finished, and the only dependency is the administrative update that will force the market to resolve to "Infinite" rather than the current 50–50 tie condition[2]. The 93rd global ranking of Betclic Apogee Esports and their 40% recent win rate further contextualise why they were the clear underdogs before the result was known[3][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.