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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5) 100% Volume: $130K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: EAC (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-9.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-12.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+12.5)0%

Market context

Fnatic’s best-of-three against Esport Academy Copenhagen in the Stake Pulse Beat I playoffs has already been priced as a near-certain fnatic advance, with the crowd at 100% YES and public match pages listing fnatic as the clear favourite.[1][6] That line is consistent with the broader gap in current standing and momentum: fnatic are shown around #51 in Strafe’s CS2 rankings, while Esport Academy Copenhagen sit near #135, and fnatic arrive on a run of five to seven straight wins depending on the source used.[1][3][6] In comparable cases, markets this one-sided usually reflect not just rank but a mixture of stronger recent results, deeper roster stability and a veto edge, all of which point towards fnatic being expected to control a BO3 rather than scrape through a single map.[1][16]

The key trading catalysts are whether the published line-ups hold and whether the veto lands on fnatic’s preferred maps, especially given their strong Inferno record and regular Nuke bans, while EAC’s weaker Inferno and Ancient numbers could matter if the series goes the distance.[1][16] There is no indication in the available match pages of last-minute roster disruption, but traders should still watch for official team announcements, map veto updates and any schedule slippage, because this market falls back to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, unfinished, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[1][3] Sofascore shows the fixture as already completed 2-0 to fnatic on 4 August, which, if accurate and confirmed by the event operator, would remove much of the residual settlement risk and leave only the precise market terms to matter.[2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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