Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-3.5) vs HAVU (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 91% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-3.5) vs HAVU (+3.5) | 9% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-3.5) vs HAVU (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Endless Journey face HAVU in a best-of-three fixture within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series #7 Group B stage, scheduled for 12 August 2024 at 1:00PM ET. The match determines progression through a regional qualification pathway for Counter-Strike competitive play. The 100% crowd-implied probability suggests near-certainty of match completion, though the settlement window extends to 23:45 UTC on the scheduled date, allowing for modest scheduling flexibility within the same calendar day.
Historical precedent in CCT Europe qualifiers shows that Group B fixtures typically proceed as scheduled when both rosters confirm participation. Cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day threshold remain uncommon at this stage, occurring primarily when teams withdraw entirely or face administrative sanctions. The current probability reflects confidence in fixture stability rather than predictive conviction about either team's likelihood of victory, indicating traders view match completion as the dominant outcome.
Key variables for settlement include roster confirmation from both organisations in the 48 hours preceding the match, platform availability on the CCT's designated broadcast infrastructure, and absence of emergency scheduling conflicts. Recent CCT Europe qualifier cycles have maintained consistent fixture calendars, though individual matches occasionally shift within the same day window. Traders should monitor official CCT announcements and team social media for any withdrawal notices or force majeure declarations, which would trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause if no winner emerges within the settlement window.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU … on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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