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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 51% Match Winner 51% Map 2 Winner 50% O/U 2.5 Games 50% Volume: $160K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner51%
Match Winner51%
Map 2 Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs Team Comanche (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs Team Comanche (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs Team Comanche (+6.5)43%
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Team Comanche (+1.5)41%

Market context

CYBERSHOKE Esports play Team Comanche in a best-of-three CIS LAN Championship Group A match, with the market sat close to a coin flip at 49% YES. The scheduling data is consistent across listings, but the start time has shifted in some feeds, from 06:00 UTC to 09:00 on one tournament page, so traders should treat the live status rather than the headline time as the key signal.[1][2][8]

The most recent form on public results points slightly towards CYBERSHOKE. They have a 2-1 defeat to EF, but also straight-map wins over BET-M 33 and WhiteBIT in their last three recorded matches, while one match listing says they had won once in a row ahead of this fixture.[7][6] Comparable past CIS LAN market context also shows CYBERSHOKE can be priced on middling but improving form: in the May CIS LAN playoff market against ARCRED, they were described as having mixed momentum after earlier regional results rather than clear dominance.[13]

The main catalysts are roster confirmation and whether the event proceeds exactly as listed. One match database still shows Team Comanche’s line-up as unknown, while CYBERSHOKE’s five-player unit is named, which matters in a BO3 where stand-ins or late changes can move maps sharply.[6] Liquipedia and tournament schedules identify this as CIS LAN Championship #6, but if the match is delayed beyond seven days, cancelled, or ends without a winner, the market resolves 50-50, so late event notices and bracket updates are directly relevant.[9][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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