Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-12.5) vs GenOne (+12.5) | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
CYBERSHOKE Esports meet GenOne in a CCT Europe Series #6 playoff quarter-final BO3, and the market’s 100% YES pricing reflects how one-sided the setup looked after GenOne’s 2-0 win over CYBERSHOKE in the pair’s most recent meeting on 2 August 2026. Public match pages also show both teams fielding their standard starters, with CYBERSHOKE listed around glowiing, alpha, bl1x1, alkarenn and Mokuj1n, and GenOne around Keoz, Djoko, Brooxsy, Chuckyy and bL4SEZ, so there is no obvious roster-disruption angle from the available team sheets.[2][11][16]
The main historical read-through is that this is a rematch between closely ranked European tier-two sides, but the recent head-to-head leans strongly towards GenOne: one database lists the only prior meeting as GenOne 2-0 CYBERSHOKE, while form snapshots show GenOne winning four of their last five and CYBERSHOKE three of their last five, with both teams around the mid-60s to high-60s in world ranking on one recent index. CYBERSHOKE’s better long-run map profile on Dust2 and Ancient matters less here than the immediate matchup evidence, especially in a BO3 where a clean veto can magnify a single tactical edge.[14][16][2]
For traders, the key catalyst is whether the match starts and completes inside the settlement window, because the contract falls to 50-50 if it is cancelled, drawn, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner. The live listings disagree on scheduled time, with some pages showing 17:00 and others 20:00, but all place it on 7 August as a quarter-final, so the operational risk is mainly around delay rather than a different opponent or format change.[5][6][12][15]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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